Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.423432 0.500620 0.586638 0.689425 0.808722 0.942631 1.104140
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.334844 0.437420 0.562387 0.725139 0.930737 1.180996 1.507795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.291349 0.416349 0.581245 0.812943 1.128057 1.539316 2.113929
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.232433 0.362338 0.547326 0.826727 1.234018 1.801181 2.644549
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.196637 0.332450 0.540051 0.875074 1.395172 2.162829 3.369415
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.166054 0.303416 0.528007 0.913758 1.548782 2.537823 4.173389
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.136489 0.269044 0.500395 0.922288 1.656690 2.860035 4.947008
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.113302 0.240220 0.475975 0.930965 1.765554 3.199136 5.797195
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.099161 0.224955 0.472439 0.975480 1.943101 3.677347 6.946478
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093933 0.226371 0.500560 1.083941 2.253725 4.429196 8.672007
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.082947 0.212748 0.495907 1.127062 2.446963 4.994437 10.134714
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.069487 0.190033 0.467450 1.115728 2.530144 5.363524 11.278044
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055563 0.162871 0.424436 1.067275 2.534234 5.590234 12.200201
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045062 0.141402 0.389763 1.030666 2.557653 5.859848 13.247387
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040849 0.135907 0.392978 1.084378 2.792642 6.604368 15.375136
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033665 0.119600 0.364711 1.054810 2.829328 6.926745 16.647995
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029760 0.112111 0.358380 1.080312 3.002852 7.576580 18.720330
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026260 0.104827 0.350962 1.101529 3.169474 8.233116 20.890404
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022437 0.095141 0.334140 1.093138 3.258366 8.718270 22.725066
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019343 0.087010 0.320097 1.089917 3.360648 9.249621 24.735254
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017653 0.083696 0.320804 1.131401 3.593422 10.136718 27.716537
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.017555 0.086843 0.344019 1.247838 4.057752 11.672136 32.480343
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016067 0.083603 0.344348 1.291013 4.315756 12.700595 36.072933